Lela McArthur and
Stephanie Figarelle said "I do" atop the Empire State Building in 2012,
becoming one of the first same-sex couples to get married at the New
York landmark.
Is the geography of LGBT America poised for a shakeup?
The
U.S. Supreme Court took two big steps toward bolstering gay marriage on
Wednesday, overturning the Defense of Marriage Act—paving the way for
federal marriage benefits for gay couples—and reintroducing gay marriage
in California, the most populous state.
The rulings may
wind up influencing where lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgendered
(LGBT) people live and work in the United States.
There are approximately 650,000 same-sex couples living in shared households in the United States, according to the
Williams Institute,
a think tank at the UCLA School of Law that focuses on sexual
orientation, gender identity, law, and policy. Prior to Wednesday's
ruling, 22 percent of those couples lived in states where gay couples
could legally marry.
With the addition of California, 30 percent of Americans now live in states with legalized gay marriage, according to the
Human Rights Campaign (HRC), the nation's largest gay rights group.
Married same-sex couples who live in states where marriage is legally recognized will immediately receive some federal benefits.
What
remains unknown, however, is how the federal government will recognize
same-sex marriages in states where the marriage of same-sex couples is
not legal. And that X factor could impact LGBT demographics.
"If
the federal government says we're going to recognize marriages but only
in states where marriage is already legally recognized, that could
create economic incentives that could substantially motivate couples to
move," said
Gary Gates, a UCLA scholar who conducted the first significant research study of gay and lesbian demographics using U.S. census data.
There
are currently 12 states in the U.S. (plus the District of Columbia)
where marriage among same-sex couples is legally recognized. Seven
additional states provide domestic partnerships or civil unions for
couples.
In all 19 of those states, same-sex couples have
state-law protections that are not available in states where marriage,
civil unions, and domestic partnerships are off the books or are
officially prohibited, including by state constitutional amendments in
many places.
Wednesday's ruling extends federal benefits to gay
couples who are married—but not to gay couples in civil unions or
domestic partnerships. That means couples in states like New Jersey and
Illinois will not receive the federal benefits bestowed on married
couples in Massachusetts and Maryland.
"Today's ruling that the
federal government will recognize the lawful marriages of same-sex
couples will have the effect of making civil unions and domestic
partnerships vastly more unequal to marriages," said David Codell, legal
director of the Williams Institute.
Reasons for Movement
How
the federal government will treat lawfully married same-sex couples
living in states that don't recognize marriage is now a question for the
Obama administration.
A difference in federal protections might sway gay couples' decisions on where to live.
"There
will really be a two-tiered system in place if same-sex couples in the
states where marriage is recognized get a set of federal benefits that
couples would not get in other states," Gates said.
There has been limited evidence that LGBT mobility patterns are affected by the desire to move to more LGBT-friendly areas.
What
we do know is based on data from Massachusetts, the first state to
legalize gay marriage. According to 2005-2007 data from the American
Community Survey, same-sex couples were about twice as likely to move to
Massachusetts as different-sex couples.
But those data are based
on a tiny number of couples (less than 500), and without surveying the
couples themselves, it's impossible to say what factors influenced their
decision to move.
Why Couples Move
Outside
the Supreme Court on Wednesday, hundreds of gay marriage supporters
stood outside as the decision was announced. Some said that marriage
laws do have an impact on deciding where they live, while others played
down such an effect.
"If the option existed between a state that
had marriage equality and a state that didn't, I would obviously move to
the state that has it," said Abbe Klezer, a law student in West
Virginia. "But I'm happy in West Virginia and I think it's getting
better."
UCLA's Gates says that the vast majority of people in the
U.S. stay put unless they have economic reasons to move. Wednesday's
ruling increases economic incentives for gay couples in states where gay
marriage is legal.
Benefits that gay married couples will now
receive include Social Security survivor benefits and a federal estate
tax break. If one spouse sells land to another, the capital gains tax
will not apply. And same-sex married couples will now be eligible to
receive COBRA benefits.
"There was a sense after Iowa passed
marriage, that Iowa was going to be the San Francisco of the Midwest, as
if all LGBT people in the Midwest have the ability to just pick up and
move," he said, referring to Iowa's legalization of gay unions in 2009.
"That didn't happen."
Instead, he said, the nation's LGBT population has become more evenly distributed. A
study
released last February showed that most states have LGBT populations
that are close to the nationwide numbers. The study also found that
states with higher LGBT populations tend to have stricter
anti-discrimination laws based on sexual orientation and gender
identity.
After Wednesday's high court decisions, states that have
civil unions and domestic partnerships might think about converting
those to marriage, said Gates, so gay couples can receive federal
benefits.
"In the past, the difference between civil unions and
marriage was about status and dignity," said Gates. "Now, if marriages
are recognized by the federal government, we're talking about a
difference in federal protection."
The ruling may have more implications for young people, said Alison Delpercio, who works at the HRC.
She pointed to
a survey
of young people conducted by the HRC, which asked, among other things,
whether LGBT teenagers thought they could eventually be happy.
Eighty-three
percent said yes. But if told they would be consigned to saying in
their current town or city, the figure dropped to 49 percent.
That
was true for Kyser Pogue, who was standing outside the Supreme Court on
Wednesday morning. He made his way from northern Florida to Washington,
D.C., in 1996 to attend Howard University. He never left.
"The
first reason I came to Washington, D.C., was because I was attending
school here," he said. "But in the back of my mind, I was thinking,
'Yes! This is a place where I can be myself.'"
SOURCE :
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2013/06/130626-doma-gay-marriage-supreme-court-unconstitutional-proposition-8/
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